1/12/06
One thing you have to give Arnold. As a politician, he has a
refreshing lack of the usual ideological consistency public
officials like to pretend they have. He plays to the
conservative audience by talking tough on sealing the Mexican
border and upholding the death penalty, then he steps up and
proposes to spend a bazillion dollars on public works projects
like some sort of New Deal Democrat. Don’t look now, Arnold,
but that conservative crowd tends to be against almost all
government spending, but that depends of course, on which rich
guys get richer when the contracts are awarded.
This is an odd story in many ways. It’s not just that
Republicans don’t usually talk that talk, it’s also that the
mainstream media is covering it as though it’s a done deal,
when it’s really just some general rhetorical ideas. If the
governor wants the state to borrow a bunch of money for any
reason through the issuance of bonds, the voters have to give
the approval. This governor’s recent record on persuading the
voters to give him what he wants is 0-4. Bond issuances haven’t
been too popular with the state’s voters in the past few
years, either. When the voters feel like their own money is
tight, they don’t care to see state government being
extravagant.
Just for fun, though, lets assume that we actually embark on
this spending spree. The conservative types will be wringing
their hands about how to pay for it, but we already know that
answer, as long as the state can make the payments on the bonds.
The state gets the money to pay off bonds the same way it gets
money for anything else–taxation. Whether the state is sitting
on the treasury or spending like a drunken sailor, the important
questions aren’t about how to spend it, they’re about who
gets taxed how much.
Maybe we do need to have a building frenzy. There’s a
saying among Cal-Trans engineers that there are only two kinds
of roads in California–inadequate and under construction. The
most important things we’d get wouldn’t be the new freeways,
levees and buildings, they’d be the jobs. The great economic
depression of the 1930s evaporated when the federal government
started spending money to build things. The rich guys paid for
that recovery, but these are different times. Maybe we could use
a shot in the economic arm, but the middle class justifiably
uneasy about staying middle. It’s not likely to want to pay
for Arnold’s sudden interest in big construction projects. I
suspect the governor’s talk was just talk. I’m pretty sure
he knows that these things are not really going to happen during
his term in office. Maybe not even during his life.
* * *
Another current story that’s getting way too much attention
from the media is Sam Alito. The mainstream media talks as
though the Democrats are giving the guy a thorough grilling
which could lead to rejection of his nomination. The alternative
media is searching hopefully for any sign that the nomination
might crumble, but it’s nowhere to be found. The donkeys are
just putting on the show they’re expected to give. Everyone in
that Senate hearing room knows that Alito can’t be stopped
just because of his conservative baggage. He’d have to confess
to a felony to avoid getting the robe and the gavel.
* * *
We’ve talked a couple of times about retirement plans,
especially about big companies pulling the rug out from under
people with long careers behind them. This week, the story
jumped out of the business section and into the general news,
because the company involved is the revered Big Blue–IBM. The
company hasn’t yet dumped anyone out of their existing plans,
but from now on, you’re on your own when you work for IBM.
There’s no more "defined benefit" plan. IBM, like
several other big companies last year, says its employees must
rely on their own savings and investment strategies–usually
one of those plans called a 401K. It’s really just a limited
access savings account with a bank that plays the stock market.
This a big comedown from defined benefit plans where your
pension keeps coming as long as you live. Unless you’ve got a
lot more money than most working people ever see in their lives,
your 401K will dwindle away when you retire. The longer you
live, the more likely you’ll go broke. Not only that, it’s
subject to the ebb and flow of the stock market. If your stock
takes a big dive, you could work until you’re 65 and be
sleeping in a cardboard box when you’re 66. This trend may
turn out to be as big a threat to the U.S. middle class as the
shipping of jobs overseas. The most secure job in the world
right now appears to be harassing American credit card customers
from a phone bank in New Delhi.
* * *
The news is all about the White House tapping our phones, but
that may be the least of our worries about privacy. I mean if
they’re listening to your phone calls, that may be as close as
you ever get to having a talk with your President. The revered
Microsoft company probably has more means to spy on you and
control the information you receive than even the federal
government. There’s a guy in China who’s been using
Microsoft’s services to post some political opinions on the
Internet which the government doesn’t like. China used to
enjoy a reputation which suggested that the government would
just go over to his house and shoot him, but this is the new
world of China dominating the manufacturing economy of the
world, so hardball now is played in a different league. The
Chinese government simply leaned on Microsoft to shut the guy
down, and Microsoft complied. No reason why it couldn’t happen
in this hemisphere. We already know they’re tapping our
phones. We’d be foolish not to assume our Internet travel and
our Email are not being monitored too.
* * *
Pat Robertson just can’t seem to stop himself from giving
conservatives and Christians a bum rap in the press. Still
glowing from the media stir he created by calling for the
assassination of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, Robertson
stepped in even deeper with the observation that God was
administering just punishment to Ariel Sharon for whatever evil
political deeds Robertson thinks he committed. It’s pretty
obvious that we need a new opposition political party, but if
the Protestants insist on sticking Robertson’s nose into
politics, we may just need a new opposition religion too.