7/7/05
The great nightmare is here, although the interruption of our
sleep came in an unexpected way. Progressive types have been
telling us for years that even if the Bush crowd can’t hurt us
too bad any other way, the nightmare comes when Dub starts
appointing people to the Supreme Court. O’Conner’s decision
to quit now has been portrayed as surprising, what with
Rehnquist practically being carried to and from the Court’s
business for the past few months, and Stevens just being so old
that everyone assumes he’ll quit.
People don’t usually quit the Supreme Court. The people who
take that job commit to it for life not just because it says so
in the Constitution, but because they regard it as the only form
of recreation they’ll ever need or want. One of the
qualifications for Supreme Court Justice is that you have
nothing else you’d especially care to do. I don’t think
those people even play golf or go fishing. They just adjudicate
until they die.
O’Conner’s departure has the mainstream media talking
about how the court is losing one of its moderate influences. I
suppose that’s true in relative terms, but calling Sandra O’Conner
a moderate judge is like calling your Camry a hot rod. O’Conner
was appointed by Ronald Reagan who was resolute in his desire to
have conservative judges, but she fell out of favor with the
Bush crowd because "conservative" means something
quite different to those folks than it meant to the Reagan
crowd. O’Conner has been quite consistent in her support of
states rights. Like Reagan, she doesn’t think the feds have
much business messing with whatever the individual states want
to do on most issues.
The Bush crowd passes itself off as conservative, but it
depends on the issue. Conservatives used to believe the feds
should leave the states alone, but Bush style conservatives
believe the feds should bully the states on
"conservative" issues like abortion. The Bush crowd is
glad to be rid of O’Conner because she wouldn’t roll over on
Roe v. Wade. She might not be personally in favor of
abortion, but she’s not holy enough to tell anyone else what
to do about it. It’s not really that simple, of course, but in
the political dance that leads to the appointment and
confirmation of her replacement on the court, it’s going to
look very much like abortion is the litmus test. Bush may not
have shaken anyone’s hand on the deal, but he has at least an
unspoken pact with his constituency never to appoint anyone to
the Supreme Court who isn’t willing to make aborting a
pregnancy a federal crime.
Abortion isn’t the whole game; it isn’t even a big part
of the game, but it’s kind of like one of those "support
our troops" ribbons on the back of someone’s car. If you’ve
got that, you’ve got automatic answers on a long list of other
issues from local development to international capitalist
imperialism. Show me a judge who’s willing to shoot down Roe
v. Wade, and I’ll show you a judge who’s willing to tap
your phone lines, put a surveillance camera where you work, make
you pee in a bottle and throw a journalist in jail for writing
about it. I’ll show you a judge who’s willing to let
corporations rip you off at will and, even scarier, shoot down
anyone in the world who gets in the way of that ripoff.
So although the Bushwhacker probably will get a couple more
cracks at appointing Supremes before he’s through, this one
will be fun to watch for those who regard Washington politics as
a spectator sport. If a wise appointment is made, one which
Democrats can’t possibly oppose, it won’t be much of a show,
but that isn’t likely to happen. The Bolton appointment shows
that the people who are pulling Bush’s strings don’t have
the slightest interest in what might appease any Democrats. If
he were still alive, they might nominate John Wayne to the
Court. I look for an appointment which will inspire the
Democrats to raise a big stink and put up a big fight, which
they will inevitably lose, but the politics could get a little
complicated.
Worst case: Bush nominates some flagrant anti-abortion,
anti-environment war mongering right winger and the flacid
Democrats can’t mount any defense. That opens the door for a
couple more similar appointments to succeed in the Senate before
Dub packs his furniture and his paper out of the White House.
But there are some other possible scenarios. What happens, for
example, if Carl Rove has to eat the consequences for outing a
CIA agent just for political retribution. Dub might duck that
bullet, but when he has to run his top advisor through the
shredder, it’ll give the Democrats in the Senate a lot more
leverage on deciding who sits on the top court. There might even
be a couple of donkeys in the Senate who can figure out how to
use that kind of political clout.
Even better, what if the Democrats actually figure out what
the Downing Street memos mean? Impeachment probably isn’t an
option at this late date, but the donkeys can win a couple of
pots if they only know how to play an ace when its dealt to
them. If that big right wing lie about how liberals dominate the
media actually were true, the Bushwhacker wouldn’t be able to
get an order for a pizza through Congress right now. I’ve been
saying all along, that even if they covered their tracks on how
they got elected, these guys have tremendous potential to step
in their own droppings. It won’t be because of the zipper
action they pinned on Clinton, because these guys aren’t
getting any of that. They get off on the dollar signs, and the
money’s on the table now. If the donkeys have enough hair to
raise the bet, the elephants will fold like Monica’s blue
dress at the dry cleaners’.
Even if Bush gets away with putting two or three crackers on
the Court, don’t get too worked up about it. This too shall
pass. What can they do? Make it harder to get an abortion? Put
the cops in your bedroom? Turn the public schools into farm
teams for state prison? Yeah, they can do all that and worse,
but even the Supreme Court can’t hurt you any worse than you
want to be hurt. This democracy thing that the US is selling
used to be about people going to the polls. Ballot booths are
almost irrelevant now. Public opinion is transmitted
electronically as fast as a phone call, and even the people who
don’t get to vote still get at least one phone call. The Bush
crowd is a bunch of big bullies, but that’s not all they have
in common with dinosaurs.