1/3/05
The last week of the year is typically the slowest news week
of all, because no one is doing much of anything. But if man
made news is in short supply, leave it to mother nature to step
into the void. I know I don’t have to report the essential
information, but I’m compelled to mention the magnitude of the
event, because I got the feeling that the mainstream media in
the U.S. was a little slow on the uptake. In the first couple of
days, the story of what happened in southern Asia was treated
like it was just your daily suicide bombing in the middle east.
It was, in fact, an event which should cause everyone in the
world to rethink how they are living their lives. It was an
event that should cause everyone, even the warmongers in
Washington and in the Middle East, to step back and realize that
their petty quarrels, their guns and their bombs are
insignificant in the grand scheme.
It won’t work that way, of course. Men who lust for power
and money will continue to kill and continue to claim that moral
and religious principles support their savagery.
The mainstream media likes to report natural disasters in
terms of money. How many billions will it cost to fix this mess?
But the truth is that natural disasters are not economic
disasters; they’re economic windfalls. I’m not saying that
thousands of people need to die to stimulate the world economy,
but that is in fact what happens. Once again, I’m going to
talk like the economist which I’m not. A nice steady economy
consists of the rich white guys who have most of the money
moving it around among themselves. They buy, sell and trade, and
they grudgingly write the paychecks which keep the middle class
middle. But when something unexpected happens, some of that
money ends up moving in a different direction.
Without even conjecturing how the world will deal with what
happened in south Asia last week, let’s look at it in a more
modest example. Someone’s house burns down, and the papers say
the loss was a quarter million, but that’s not true. It might
be a loss but it’s not an economic loss. What actually happens
is that a quarter million which some insurance company would
have invested in stocks and bonds will, instead, go to the
contractor who rebuilds the house, and to the retailers who sell
him the materials and replace the furniture and appliances. It
will go to his employees who’ll pay the rent and buy the
groceries. The guys who have all the money will tell you that a
good economy is one in which the Dow-Jones average stays
comfortably high. That’s only a good economy for rich guys. A
good economy for the rest of us is when there’s more money
moving around among us.
I’m not advocating disasters on any scale. I’m sure there
are better ways to spread the wealth around a little more
equitably, but I risk being called a socialist or worse if I
describe them. Just don’t buy it when the talking head on the
TV news tells you that some impressive number of dollars were
lost in some disaster. They weren’t lost at all. They were
just redistributed. With any kind of luck, they were shaken out
of some rich guy’s pocket into the day to day commerce of the
regular folks.
Another economic truism is that resources and money are
limited. There’s only so much to go around. That’s not
entirely true, of course. New resources are found and exploited
all the time. Sometimes they’re natural resources, sometimes
they’re manufactured resources, and sometimes they’re just
ideas that prove to be lucrative. When new resources are
created, governments print more money. Sometimes governments
print money even when there are no resources to back it up, but
that’s risky business. Anyway, let’s assume that the world’s
response to the devastation of southern Asia puts a real bind on
the world’s resources. A fair assumption. Although the
Bushwhacker grudgingly promised a lot more than the chintzy $15
million he initially wanted to throw into the pot, he’s still
spending more every few days to trash Iraq and make his friends
richer by rebuilding it than the total he’s willing to give to
rebuild south Asia. If money is tight, there’s only one
obvious answer, and every voter in the U.S. should be seeing it
clearly. Shut down that nonsense in Iraq and send that money
where it belongs. If we have to pay Haliburton, we can at least
pay them to do some good work instead of the evil work they’re
doing currently. Actually, of course, the money and resources
which will flow from the U.S. are not the President’s call.
Private money will flow, and Congress may have different ideas.
* * *
As soon as the tsunami story started unfolding, I started
wondering why so many people were washed away with no warning. I
mean places thousands of miles away didn’t even know what hit
‘em. I realize some of these places were a little short on
modern communication systems, but you have to assume there’s a
telephone around, and every island or town has a Paul Revere
just waiting to rise to the occasion. Then I saw a story buried
on page 14 about how various celebrities and political figures
were evacuated by helicopters from vacation spots. No
conclusions here, but big questions.
* * *
Finally, I see that the Grass Valley Union did what
every other newspaper does on December 31st, recapped
the most important stories of the past year. So here’s what The
Union calls the most important local stories of ‘04.
Number one was a vehicle accident. Number two was a bunch of
people who went on a group weight loss program. Number three was
a county supervisor who got sick and died. Number four was the
athletic success of some kids at Nevada Union High School, and
number five was that we had a dry, hot summer but no serious
fires.
There are three possible conclusions you can draw from this,
and any one or all three could be true. First, there may be a
diminishing understanding at The Union about what’s
more important news and what’s less important news, or even
about what’s news and what isn’t. Second, it may be as I’ve
often suggested that the perception of a great power shift on
the county Board of Supervisors isn’t all that earth shaking.
It’s probably true that the new Board isn’t endowed with
much in the way of environmental sensibilities, but I don’t
expect Grass Valley to be looking any more like San Jose than it
already does anytime soon. Finally, it may be that nothing much
actually happened locally in ‘04.